Week 4 Bets
Louisville FC vs Birmingham Legion FC
Odds: -115
Pick: Louisville FC
Bet: $5
Payout: $9.35
Lou City is just the better team. They’re at home. Legion looked dreadful in the first half against Hartford. If they take a half off here, it will be much worse than 1-0
Miami FC vs Charleston Battery
Odds: +150
Pick: Charleston Battery
Bet: $10
Payout: $25.00
Look Miami has been shockingly good this season, but Charleston is elite. They just put up 4 goals on a better New Mexico side. This just feels like a mismatch.
Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa
Odds: +410
Pick: FC Tulsa
Bet: $5
Payout: $25.50
Again I think Orange County should win this, but they haven’t exactly been reliable. Tulsa has played one game they won and they scored three goals in the process. Why wouldn’t I take a stab at +410
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island FC
Odds: -136
Pick: Both teams to score
Bet: $10
Payout: $17.35
I don’t know if I can trust Rhode Island to hang with Tampa. I know I can’t trust the Rowdies to show up, despite their stacked roster. I do however trust both of these offenses.
San Antonio FC vs Monterey Bay FC
Odds: +500
Pick: Monterey Bay FC
Bet: $5
Payout: $30.00
San Antonio is better, and they’re at home. They should win this game, but come on +500? This is how I know the odds makers aren’t paying attention. Monterey has been good, if they can hang around for awhile they can steal this game.
Total Bet: $35
Max Payout: $107.20
Net: $16.70
Week 3 Bets
Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion FC
Odds: +250
Pick: Draw
Bet: $5
Payout: $17.50
Honestly, I didn’t want to touch this one, but it’s the early game and I’m gonna be watching so I want some action. If I had to guess I think Hartford’s the better squad, but it’s close. +250 for a draw feels fair, but this is just a toss up.
Indy Eleven vs Sacramento Republic FC
Odds: +135
Pick: Sacramento
Bet: $5
Payout: $11.75
It’s too early to be confident in anything, but I think Republic is the best team in the league. If I see plus money, I’m taking it.
Las Vegas Lights FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC
Odds: +130
Pick: El Paso
Bet: $5
Payout: $11.50
It’s been a rough start to the season for El Paso, but they played their best game of the season against Louisville on tired legs. They’re gonna get a much needed rest and a lot of film to watch. I expect them to get back on the right track.
San Antonio FC vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
Odds: -105
Pick: San Antonio
Bet: $10
Payout: $19.52
San Antonio is the better team, they’re at home, and they need a win. Switchbacks lost to Miami, you can’t touch this team right now.
Monterey Bay F.C. vs Rhode Island FC
Odds: -125
Pick: Rhode Island or Draw
Bet: $5
Payout: $9.00
I was impressed with Monterey against El Paso, and I didn’t see the win against Phoenix coming. I fully admit to sleeping on this Monterey side, but old habits die hard. On paper the Rhode Island team is too good, and they’ll have some momentum off the stoppage time goal in their opener.
Forward Madison FC vs Duluth FC
Odds: +120
Pick: Forward Madison
Bet: $10
Payout: $22.00
I went to bed with Madison at -170 and was looking for a parlay piece to go with it. Decided to sleep on it, and woke up to Madison at +120.
Capo FC vs Des Moines Menace
Odds: +490
Pick: Capo
Bet: $5
Payout: $29.50
Des Moines is better. I think Des Moines wins. But they’re still a USL2 team traveling across the country for this game. I think the Sacha news has greatly inflated these odds and I gotta take the shot.
Vermont Green vs Lexington SC
Odds: +200
Pick: Vermont
Bet: $5
Payout: $15.00
Damn it they got me. I saw this yesterday with both teams at +150 and I was sure I was picking Lexington. But Vermont keeps playing up the New England winter and suddenly I don’t know. Then the odds are up to +200 for the green and the forecast calls for snow. They just reeled me right in on this one. Pure degenerate vibes pick here.
Total Bet: $50
Max Payout: $135.77
Net: +15.52
Week 2 Bets
El Paso Locomotive FC vs Monterey Bay FC
Odds: -115
Pick: El Paso
Bet: $5
Payout: $9.35
Busy week for El Paso, who dropped the opener to Hartford this past Saturday. They desperately need this midweek win, before hosting a stacked Louisville team on Saturday. Fortunately for them, Monterey Bay sucks.
El Paso Locomotive FC vs Louisville FC
Odds: -155
Pick: Louisville or Draw
Bet: $10
Payout: $16.45
Now a responsible gambler would wait and watch the Wednesday game before making this pick, but the sad truth is that LouCity is inevitable. Unfortunately we don’t live in a world in which a tired El Paso can outright beat LouCity. What did I say in the power rankings, sometimes good things just happen to bad people.
Memphis 901 FC vs Indy Eleven
Odds: +230
Pick: Draw
Bet: $5
Payout: $16.50
These teams feel evenly matched to me, at least on paper. Memphis has home-field, but Indy needs a result to prevent an 0-0-2 start. Honestly, I just really wanted something with a decent return this week.
Miami FC vs Sacramento Republic
Odds: +115
Pick: Sacramento
Bet: $10
Payout: $21.50
I had Miami at the bottom of my week 0 power ranking, and I bet against them in week 1. On both accounts they exposed me as the stupid idiot that I am. That said Sacramento isn’t the same beast as Colorado Springs. After dropping two point in stoppage this past Saturday, they’re coming to Miami to send a message. This is my lock of the week. Be advised I am currently 0-1 on my lock of the week
Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC vs Detroit City
Odds: +105
Pick: Detroit or draw
Bet: $5
Payout: $10.25
Colorado Springs dropped to Miami, that makes them losers. Detroits got some dawgs, they should be able to come away with a draw here, if not a win.
Total Bet: $35
Max Payout: $74.05
Net: +$13.20
Week 1 Bets
New Mexico United v Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Odds: +240
Pick: Draw
Bet: $5
Payout: $17.00
I’m so excited for this game it’s destined to be a 0-0 draw. I think the hounds are the better team, but in New Mexico in the first week of the season. That place is gonna be electric.
Memphis 901 FC v Las Vegas Lights FC
Odds: +490
Pick: Lights
Bet: $5
Payout: $29.50
+490! These odds feel like they’re based off of last years lights team. I agree Memphis is better and they should win at home but +490? I gotta take the shot
Miami FC v Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
Odds: -175
Pick: CSS FC or Draw
Bet: $5
Payout: $7.86
I don’t know how to feel about this switchbacks team just yet. This is more just picking against Miami.
El Paso Locomotive FC v Hartford Athletic FC
Odds: +450
Pick: Hartford
Bet: $5
Payout: $27.50
Similar to Las Vegas in Memphis, I just think the line is wrong. Loco should win this but I wouldn’t be shocked if Brendan Burkes squad comes out hot. This one should be fun, considering adding an over 3.5 goals play as well.
Sacramento Republic v Orange County SC
Odds: +300
Pick: Draw
Bet: $5
Payout: $20.00
This has to be the best match up in week one. Both teams are good everywhere. I’m leaning towards this being more of a sparing session than a heavy weight clash.
Oakland Roots v Indy Eleven
Odds: +240
Pick: Draw
Bet: $5
Payout: $17.00
Indy is the better team, but Roots should be able to hold on at home.
Phoenix Rising FC v Birmingham Legion FC
Odds: -150
Pick: Phoenix
Bet: $5
Payout: $8.33
This is my lock of the week, so naturally you should pick against it. Phoenix feels comfortably better than Legion as it is. Now add a week one home crowd, after a championship run where they played every game on the road. That place is going to be bonkers.