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Week 4 Bets

Louisville FC vs Birmingham Legion FC

Odds: -115

Pick: Louisville FC

Bet: $5

Payout: $9.35

Lou City is just the better team. They’re at home. Legion looked dreadful in the first half against Hartford.  If they take a half off here, it will be much worse than 1-0

Miami FC vs Charleston Battery

Odds: +150

Pick: Charleston Battery

Bet: $10

Payout: $25.00

Look Miami has been shockingly good this season, but Charleston is elite. They just put up 4 goals on a better New Mexico side. This just feels like a mismatch. 

Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa

Odds: +410

Pick: FC Tulsa

Bet: $5

Payout: $25.50

Again I think Orange County should win this, but they haven’t exactly been reliable. Tulsa has played one game they won and they scored three goals in the process.  Why wouldn’t I take a stab at +410

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island FC

Odds: -136

Pick: Both teams to score

Bet: $10

Payout: $17.35

I don’t know if I can trust Rhode Island to hang with Tampa. I know I can’t trust the Rowdies to show up, despite their stacked roster. I do however trust both of these offenses.

San Antonio FC vs Monterey Bay FC

Odds: +500

Pick: Monterey Bay FC

Bet: $5

Payout: $30.00

San Antonio is better, and they’re at home. They should win this game, but come on +500? This is how I know the odds makers aren’t paying attention. Monterey has been good, if they can hang around for awhile they can steal this game. 

Total Bet: $35

Max Payout: $107.20

Net: $16.70

Week 3 Bets

Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion FC

Odds: +250

Pick: Draw

Bet: $5

Payout: $17.50

Honestly, I didn’t want to touch this one, but it’s the early game and I’m gonna be watching so I want some action.  If I had to guess I think Hartford’s the better squad, but it’s close. +250 for a draw feels fair, but this is just a toss up.

Indy Eleven vs Sacramento Republic FC

Odds: +135

Pick: Sacramento

Bet: $5

Payout: $11.75

It’s too early to be confident in anything, but I think Republic is the best team in the league.  If I see plus money, I’m taking it. 

Las Vegas Lights FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC

Odds: +130

Pick: El Paso

Bet: $5

Payout: $11.50

It’s been a rough start to the season for El Paso, but they played their best game of the season against Louisville on tired legs.  They’re gonna get a much needed rest and a lot of film to watch. I expect them to get back on the right track.

San Antonio FC vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC

Odds: -105

Pick: San Antonio

Bet: $10

Payout: $19.52

San Antonio is the better team, they’re at home, and they need a win.  Switchbacks lost to Miami, you can’t touch this team right now.

Monterey Bay F.C. vs Rhode Island FC

Odds: -125

Pick: Rhode Island or Draw

Bet: $5

Payout: $9.00

I was impressed with Monterey against El Paso, and I didn’t see the win against Phoenix coming.  I fully admit to sleeping on this Monterey side, but old habits die hard. On paper the Rhode Island team is too good, and they’ll have some momentum off the stoppage time goal in their opener.

Forward Madison FC vs Duluth FC

Odds: +120

Pick: Forward Madison

Bet: $10

Payout: $22.00

I went to bed with Madison at -170 and was looking for a parlay piece to go with it.   Decided to sleep on it, and woke up to Madison at +120.

Capo FC vs Des Moines Menace

Odds: +490

Pick: Capo

Bet: $5

Payout: $29.50

Des Moines is better. I think Des Moines wins.  But they’re still a USL2 team traveling across the country for this game.  I think the Sacha news has greatly inflated these odds and I gotta take the shot.

Vermont Green vs Lexington SC

Odds: +200

Pick: Vermont

Bet: $5

Payout: $15.00

Damn it they got me.  I saw this yesterday with both teams at +150 and I was sure I was picking Lexington.  But Vermont keeps playing up the New England winter and suddenly I don’t know. Then the odds are up to +200 for the green and the forecast calls for snow.  They just reeled me right in on this one. Pure degenerate vibes pick here.

Total Bet: $50

Max Payout: $135.77

Net: +15.52

Week 2 Bets

El Paso Locomotive FC vs Monterey Bay FC

Odds: -115

Pick: El Paso

Bet: $5

Payout: $9.35

Busy week for El Paso, who dropped the opener to Hartford this past Saturday.  They desperately need this midweek win, before hosting a stacked Louisville team on Saturday.  Fortunately for them, Monterey Bay sucks. 

El Paso Locomotive FC vs Louisville FC

Odds: -155

Pick: Louisville or Draw

Bet: $10

Payout: $16.45

Now a responsible gambler would wait and watch the Wednesday game before making this pick, but the sad truth is that LouCity is inevitable.  Unfortunately we don’t live in a world in which a tired El Paso can outright beat LouCity.  What did I say in the power rankings, sometimes good things just happen to bad people. 

Memphis 901 FC vs Indy Eleven

Odds: +230

Pick: Draw

Bet: $5

Payout: $16.50

These teams feel evenly matched to me, at least on paper.  Memphis has home-field, but Indy needs a result to prevent an 0-0-2 start.  Honestly, I just really wanted something with a decent return this week.

Miami FC vs Sacramento Republic

Odds: +115

Pick: Sacramento

Bet: $10

Payout: $21.50

I had Miami at the bottom of my week 0 power ranking, and I bet against them in week 1.  On both accounts they exposed me as the stupid idiot that I am.  That said Sacramento isn’t the same beast as Colorado Springs. After dropping two point in stoppage this past Saturday, they’re coming to Miami to send a message. This is my lock of the week.  Be advised I am currently 0-1 on my lock of the week

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC vs Detroit City

Odds: +105

Pick: Detroit or draw 

Bet: $5

Payout: $10.25

Colorado Springs dropped to Miami, that makes them losers.  Detroits got some dawgs, they should be able to come away with a draw here, if not a win.  

Total Bet: $35

Max Payout: $74.05

Net: +$13.20

Week 1 Bets

New Mexico United v Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Odds: +240

Pick: Draw

Bet: $5

Payout: $17.00

I’m so excited for this game it’s destined to be a 0-0 draw. I think the hounds are the better team, but in New Mexico in the first week of the season. That place is gonna be electric. 

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Memphis 901 FC v Las Vegas Lights FC

Odds: +490

Pick: Lights

Bet: $5

Payout: $29.50

+490! These odds feel like they’re based off of last years lights team. I agree Memphis is better and they should win at home but +490? I gotta take the shot

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Miami FC v Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC

Odds: -175

Pick: CSS FC or Draw

Bet: $5

Payout: $7.86

I don’t know how to feel about this switchbacks team just yet. This is more just picking against Miami. 

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El Paso Locomotive FC v Hartford Athletic FC

Odds: +450

Pick: Hartford

Bet: $5

Payout: $27.50

Similar to Las Vegas in Memphis, I just think the line is wrong.  Loco should win this but I wouldn’t be shocked if Brendan Burkes squad comes out hot.  This one should be fun, considering adding an over 3.5 goals play as well. 

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Sacramento Republic v Orange County SC

Odds: +300

Pick: Draw

Bet: $5

Payout: $20.00

This has to be the best match up in week one. Both teams are good everywhere.  I’m leaning towards this being more of a sparing session than a heavy weight clash.

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Oakland Roots v Indy Eleven

Odds: +240

Pick: Draw

Bet: $5

Payout: $17.00

Indy is the better team, but Roots should be able to hold on at home. 

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Phoenix Rising FC v Birmingham Legion FC

Odds: -150

Pick: Phoenix

Bet: $5

Payout: $8.33

This is my lock of the week, so naturally you should pick against it.  Phoenix feels comfortably better than Legion as it is.  Now add a week one home crowd, after a championship run where they played every game on the road.  That place is going to be bonkers.  

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Total Bet: $35

Max Payout: $127.19

Net: +$12.50

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